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Nifty Earnings Growth vs PE Re-rating: 5-Year Gap

Vaibhav Poddar · Freelancer
Published · 2 min read

In short

  • The Nifty 50 is being valued at a lower multiple than it has usually carried, with its PE about 12% below the five year median.
  • Earnings of the index companies have grown faster than the index price over five years, so returns have trailed the profits earned.
  • Investors in index funds are seeing the Nifty 50 down about 8.1% in the past year while earnings of the index companies have kept growing.
  • Brokerages expected strong Q2 results for FY27, and by 31 October the 35 Nifty companies that had reported showed earnings growth of 22% year on year.
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The price to earnings (PE) ratio stood at 19.19 on 29 October 2026, which is about 12% below its five year median of 21.93. For investors trying to understand Nifty earnings growth vs PE re-rating, this gap is the starting point, as the index is being valued at a lower multiple than it has usually carried in recent years.

October 2026 bulletin puts the Nifty 50 at 19.4x PE. The same bulletin shows that one year returns are negative, while the 10 year annualised returns are around 10%.

SEBI's October 2026 bulletin shows that the Nifty 50 was down about 8.1% year on year.

Families who invest in index funds are seeing the index level and the earnings numbers move in different directions and it raises the question of whether earnings or the PE decides what the index delivers over a long period.

Five years of earnings that the index did not keep

Over the five years to 29 October 2026, the earnings of the Nifty 50 companies grew at around 11.7% a year, as per IndexPE data. The index price rose only about 5.35% a year over same period, and this price figure excludes .

India Macro Indicators data shows that the 10 year median PE of the Nifty 50 was 23.2 on the same date. Craytheon data shows that the present PE is 16.9% below its 10 year average. Individuals who invested in the index when valuations were higher are seeing a lower return than the earnings record of the companies would suggest.

The Nifty Next 50 shows a similar pattern. Its PE was 17.07 on 23 October, which is about 24% below its own five year median.

Over five years, the earnings of the Next 50 companies grew about 18.96% a year, while the index price rose 9.19% a year. The gap between earnings and price is therefore wider here than in the Nifty 50.

Alongside this, investors are continuing their monthly SIPs in spite of the weak markets. The SEBI October bulletin summary shows that monthly SIP inflows held at Rs 324.9 billion.

What Q2 and FY27 estimates say

Brokerages expected a strong set of results for the July to September quarter of FY27, and the results season is now under way. Before the results season, Motilal Oswal had estimated that Nifty 50 earnings would rise 27% year on year in Q2, which would be the best growth in 17 quarters.

Other brokerages are in a similar range.

In January, Elara had said that the gains in the Nifty would be driven by earnings rather than by valuation expansion.

The forward PE uses the expected earnings of the next twelve months, so it will be lower than the trailing PE when earnings are rising.

With the Q2 estimates already placed high, Elara's cut to its FY27 estimate is the figure to watch as the results come in.

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Frequently asked questions

What is PE re-rating in the Nifty?

Re-rating means the multiple that investors pay for each rupee of earnings has changed. When the multiple falls, it is called de-rating, and index return will be lower than the earnings growth.

Why is the Nifty not rising when company earnings are rising?

The index level is the earnings multiplied by the PE ratio. If the PE falls faster than the earnings increase, index can remain flat or decline.

What is the difference between trailing PE and forward PE?

Trailing PE uses the earnings of the last twelve months. Forward PE uses the expected earnings of the next twelve months, so it is usually lower when earnings are growing.

Is the Nifty 50 PE lower than its past average?

Data from several sources showed the PE in October 2026 below both its five year and ten year medians. The Nifty Next 50 is also being valued below its own median.

Where can I check the current Nifty PE ratio?

The NSE publishes the PE ratio of its indices on its website every day. Data websites such as IndexPE also show the ratio along with its history.

Sources & credits

Facts and figures in this article draw on these sources. All writing is our own.

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About the author

Vaibhav Poddar

Vaibhav Poddar

Freelancer Shimla, Himachal Pradesh

A young writer exploring business, technology, lifestyle and emerging trends. Brings a fresh perspective to everyday developments, with a focus on digital culture, startups and the changing interests of younger audiences. Enjoys turning trending topics and complex ideas into engaging, easy to read stories.

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